Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.052099 0.056576 0.061108 0.066033 0.071226 0.076532 0.082356
2025-03-23 0.045824 0.052448 0.059389 0.067178 0.075649 0.084554 0.094597
2025-03-30 0.040840 0.049005 0.057828 0.068007 0.079365 0.091588 0.105677
2025-04-06 0.036222 0.045440 0.055686 0.067807 0.081645 0.096842 0.114685
2025-04-13 0.033522 0.043731 0.055362 0.069419 0.085774 0.104036 0.125801
2025-04-20 0.030001 0.040735 0.053271 0.068745 0.087084 0.107890 0.133039
2025-04-27 0.027522 0.038764 0.052193 0.069084 0.089429 0.112829 0.141454
2025-05-04 0.025830 0.037610 0.051968 0.070328 0.092756 0.118856 0.151112
2025-05-11 0.024770 0.037152 0.052517 0.072450 0.097095 0.126065 0.162176
2025-05-18 0.021789 0.033998 0.049508 0.070009 0.095751 0.126395 0.165007
2025-05-25 0.019964 0.032247 0.048172 0.069558 0.096761 0.129486 0.171088
2025-06-01 0.018288 0.030580 0.046843 0.069023 0.097593 0.132307 0.176808
2025-06-08 0.017739 0.030485 0.047616 0.071260 0.102007 0.139650 0.188210
2025-06-15 0.016858 0.029858 0.047633 0.072488 0.105138 0.145435 0.197764
2025-06-22 0.015925 0.029093 0.047416 0.073371 0.107813 0.150658 0.206660
2025-06-29 0.014708 0.027822 0.046430 0.073165 0.109036 0.154041 0.213276
2025-07-06 0.014191 0.027578 0.046861 0.074866 0.112752 0.160588 0.223873
2025-07-13 0.012985 0.026182 0.045579 0.074157 0.113242 0.163004 0.229281
2025-07-20 0.012183 0.025369 0.045094 0.074515 0.115125 0.167192 0.236927
2025-07-27 0.011703 0.025046 0.045303 0.075826 0.118279 0.173021 0.246673
2025-08-03 0.011499 0.025165 0.046162 0.078062 0.122697 0.180514 0.258585
2025-08-10 0.010092 0.023149 0.043715 0.075490 0.120502 0.179342 0.259371
2025-08-17 0.009300 0.022138 0.042753 0.075015 0.121144 0.181860 0.264887